Ah, the 1956 Hungarian uprising. So what does driving have to do with THAT? Well ... nothing. But the discipline of studying history does.
There’s a sequence of approach if you’re to draw accurate conclusions from what’s happened. How reliable are the signals that what went before will go the same way again ? What sources do you trust ? Where do you look: only the immediate future in the “political” road ahead ?
What’s your context before you make a move ? Did you see someone else try it before, and succeed ? “If you always do what you always did, you’ll always get what you always got”. Plus ça change!